future of asteroid mining

Is Asteroid Mining the Next Big Thing in Space Exploration?

September 24, 2024 - Emily Newton

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As humanity continues to push the frontiers of space exploration, the possibility of asteroid mining inches closer from science fiction to a tangible prospect. Growing evidence suggests that these large floating rocks contain a wealth of valuable minerals, including precious metals and rare earth elements.

With Earth’s natural resources dwindling and the global population rising, extracting valuable materials from these celestial objects may well be the next big thing. 

However, the road to making this a reality will not be as straightforward as conventional geological missions. Questions about feasibility, technology, and economic impact loom large over such an ambitious endeavor. Understanding these complexities will be crucial for navigating both its opportunities and challenges.

Is Asteroid Mining Possible?

Yes, asteroid mining is possible, but the concept remains largely theoretical. As NASA scientists confirmed in 2023, the technologies required for such ventures are far from developed. 

Consequently, humanity still has some way to go before launching a full-fledged mining mission beyond Earth. “We actually can’t really mine asteroids yet, although many people are working on it,” says Professor Lindy Elkins-Tanton, NASA’s Principal Investigator of the Psyche Discovery program.

That being said, NASA is actively conducting fundamental research to determine asteroid compositions — basically, what are they made of and what is their utility value? These explorations are purely academic and will set the foundation for future efforts to mine asteroids.

Of course, private organizations are making significant strides in this development. Recent advancements in spacecraft technology, robotics and artificial intelligence have opened the door to the possibility of exploring and extracting space resources. While the initial investment is significant, the potential returns could be immense. 

With growing interest from private companies and government agencies, the future will likely see more investments and research to overcome technical challenges. At this rate, the global asteroid mining market is set to grow at a 16.53% CAGR, hitting a valuation of over $8.40 billion by 2033. 

What Is the Method of Asteroid Mining?

Setting up a mining operation on an asteroid would be a massive undertaking. From an economic standpoint alone, the process is too costly to replace mining on earth. Trillions of dollars worth of valuable resources in space are worthless if it costs more to obtain them. 

The principles are quite simple — choose the asteroid, move it to a place where it is easier to process and take it apart to extract useful materials. Unfortunately, these all collide with fundamental issues humanity has yet to solve. 

The Cost Constraint 

Going to space is expensive, costing thousands of dollars in rocket fuel just to reach low-Earth orbit, which means going further will likely cost millions more. One solution to making asteroid mining less expensive is to switch from classical rockets to electric spaceships. 

Organizations like NASA and the European Space Agency already use these electrical systems to power space probes for scientific research. For example, NASA’s Solar Electric Propulsion systems use roughly 10 times less fuel than a comparable conventional rocket. This would considerably reduce the spending on transport fuel and make it easier to get the mission off the ground. 

Another potential solution requires innovations for converting on-site resources into rocket fuel.  Recently tested samples from the Ryugu asteroid suggest the rock contains over 20,000 organic molecules, including hydrogen, nitrogen, oxygen and other gases. Advanced systems could harvest these minerals and process them into usable fuel to power the expedition and its return to Earth. 

Finding the Right Asteroid 

Selecting which asteroid to mount the mining rig will depend on the target resources. These cosmic rocks typically contain massive amounts of raw minerals, including platinum, gold, cobalt, palladium and iron. 

Another consideration is the distance. Naturally, asteroids orbiting well near Earth will likely be the first targets. As mining technologies become more advanced, explorations can target farther locations, like the asteroid belt between Mars and Jupiter — home to 2 million large asteroids and many more smaller ones.

Methodology Assumptions 

No one knows for sure what asteroid mining will look like or how the process will ensue, but here are some reasonable assumptions.

Upon selecting the rock, the first thing is to secure it and stop it from spinning. One way to do this is by cleverly using thrusters to gently nudge the asteroid on a trajectory near the moon or Earth, where the gravitational pull can create a more stable orbit to support mining operations. 

The bulk of the work will likely involve using robotic equipment to limit exposure risks to human personnel. This would also reduce the amount of supplies like food and water required for such missions. 

Getting the precious metals safely back to Earth would probably involve loading them onto a wide spacecraft and flying them back. 

Are There Asteroid Mining Companies?

The industry is still developing, so there are relatively few established companies. One of the most popular in the field is AstroForge, a US-based startup that has already attempted two asteroid-mining missions in the last year. The company recently secured $40 million in Serie A funding to launch its third mission in 2025 to a metallic asteroid orbiting near Earth. 

Interestingly, researchers believe the rock to be rich in iron and plan to outfit the spacecraft with powerful magnets to enhance docking and stabilization. 

Is Mining Asteroids Worth It?

The ability to extract raw materials for Earth use or in-space manufacturing certainly has its merits. From an economic point of view, the potential for such resources is infinite, forever changing the demand-supply dynamics for precious metals. According to a recent study, just 10 of the nearest asteroids to Earth contain $1.5 trillion worth of natural resources — around the same value as the global mining industry. 

Extracting and processing space resources can benefit the planet, dramatically reducing the demand for Earth’s raw minerals. However, this raises critical questions about the ethics of polluting space environments and its broader implications. 

The allure of asteroid mining also lies in its potential to support long-term and further explorations. As humans envision missions to other planets outside the solar system, the ability to utilize natural resources from asteroids could provide essential materials to continue the journey. This would reduce the need to transport everything from Earth, giving rise to true sustainability and self-sufficiency during expeditions. 

Asteroid Mining Will Be the Next Big Thing in Space Exploration

The growing investment in space explorations and the promise of a potentially perpetual resource stream mean that asteroid mining tilts closer to inevitability than a possibility. It would be exciting to see how the industry innovates to meet current and future limitations — but it’s plain to see that this venture will mark a milestone in humanity’s advancement. 

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Author

Emily Newton

Emily Newton is a technology and industrial journalist and the Editor in Chief of Revolutionized. She manages the sites publishing schedule, SEO optimization and content strategy. Emily enjoys writing and researching articles about how technology is changing every industry. When she isn't working, Emily enjoys playing video games or curling up with a good book.

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